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May. 1 2010 — 5:16 pm | 2,150 views | 3 recommendations | 10 comments

Obama’s Katrina in the Gulf? No comparison

The NY Times today runs—and, perhaps more significantly, Politico’s Playbook email blast cites—a classic case of pointless navel-gazing the press too often engages in, at the expense of actual reporting. The whole structure of the piece is typical: You start with a link-baiting headline, “Shadow of Hurricane Katrina Hangs Over Obama After Spill.”

Then you go on to demonstrate how responsible you are by saying, in the 13th of 15 paragraphs, that there is a “key difference” between the spill and Katrina.

In between you dig up an academic—in this case, a self-promoting professor at a fourth-rate university—to say something that sounds detached and intellectual, but in fact is a total case of log-rolling, with the log having been replaced by a piece of bullshit in the shape of a log. I wonder how many calls Helene Cooper had to make to get someone to say something to support her obviously pre-determined thesis, that the spill is somehow comparable to the Great Flood of New Orleans?

The Times has therefore, in an attempt to demonstrate its lack of liberal bias, launched a meme in the political discourse, justifying pundits’ forthcoming “balanced” debates on cable about an issue that doesn’t exist.

Here are a few “key differences,” in the hopes that as little as possible breath and ink is wasted on this baseless comparison.

1) Katrina was not an accident, and as such, it was predictable. We must remember that what happened in New Orleans was not a natural disaster; it was entirely man-made. The state of the levees protecting the city was well-known: the Army Corps of Engineers, which was responsible for them, knew it, and anyone who read the Times-Picayune’s superb series on the danger posed to the city by a major hurricane due to the weak levees knew it too. The Corps’s budget for levee construction in New Orleans was slashed by Bush 14 months before Katrina, and its overall budget was cut by $71.2 million two months before the storm. Bush, as he never tired of reminding us, was Commander in Chief, and therefore bore ultimate responsibility for not fixing the levees in the four-and-a-half years he had to do so before the hurricane struck.

2) Hurricanes are forecast; the type of accident that exacerbated the spill has never happened before. Bush had days, if not weeks, to send emergency supplies to New Orleans and help with its evacuation as the storm came from the Atlantic, across Florida, west through the Gulf, and finally north to the mouth of the Mississippi. By contrast, the mechanism that’s supposed to shut off BP’s oil well has never failed before. This shouldn’t be read as an endorsement of offshore drilling, or an excuse for BP, which spent $700m on the rig that exploded and $1m a day to run it. But Bush could have prepared for the flood of New Orleans, and chose not to. It’s true that Obama could have, in general way, done more to prevent an oil spill in the Gulf, but foreseeing this disaster would have been impossible, because no such disaster of this particular type had ever occurred. Not so with Bush.

3) Bush deliberately dismantled the system for responding to disasters, both directly and indirectly. Bush directed in 2005 that FEMA “officially” lose disaster-preparedness capabilities, leaving no federal agency to perform this essential function. In January 2001, he had named a crony from Texas with no experience in disaster management to head FEMA. This guy handed the reins to Mike “Heckuva job” Brown, a college friend who also had no experience, and had been fired from his previous job for mismanagement. Brown was at the controls when Katrina came ashore. FEMA denied flood-control requests from Louisiana.

4) Bush slept, and New Orleans wept; Obama was on the case from Day 1. Here’s a timeline of the days before and after Katrina. It shows that 3 hours after first reports of levee breach, Bush was making a speech somewhere (“My Pet Goat,” anyone?) and 12 hours after, Rumsfeld was at a baseball game. The governor of Louisiana made a desperate plea for help at 8pm on the 29th; Bush went to bed that night without responding. The next day, he went on vacation. Three days later a campaign had begun to blame local officials.

By contrast, the Coast Guard was on the scene within hours of the explosion at the oil rig; the DepSec of Interior was there the next day, and coordination with local officials and with BP have been constant from the beginning.

So that ought to be enough about that.

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Apr. 30 2010 — 12:05 pm | 98 views | 0 recommendations | 0 comments

Proving the AZ anti-immigrant bill’s sponsor a liar in under 60 seconds

After I dropped my daughter off at school this morning, I heard on NPR the Republican state representative in Arizona who sponsored the state’s new draconian anti-immigrant law claiming that boycotts against the state would be ineffectual because once people saw how much safer Arizona would become with fewer undocumented aliens as a result of the new law, tourists would return.

I really wish members of the media wouldn’t allow fact-free assertions such as this to go unchallenged; it took me less than 60 seconds—I knew it would be easy, so I timed it—to disprove this elected official’s lie.

Here are the links:

While the undocumented alien population doubled, crime went down.

Crime rates are lowest in the states with the highest immigration rates. (pdf)

Native-born men ages 18-39 commit crimes at a rate 1/5 of immigrants. (pdf)

Do some homework, NPR. Letting this kind of thing pass creates false impressions in your listeners, which is the opposite of what you’re supposed to be doing as a news organization.

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Apr. 26 2010 — 10:28 pm | 740 views | 0 recommendations | 4 comments

Why AZ’s immigration law is bad for conservatives

There’s a genius column by Byron York, who works for The National Review, in today’s Washington Examiner.

York, who once defended to me George W. Bush’s inaction after receiving a Presidential Daily Briefing on August 6,2001 stating that “Al-Qa’ida members–including some who are US citizens–have resided in or traveled to the US for years, and the group apparently maintains a support structure that could aid attacks,” has the gall to say that a law which allows law enforcement to use race or ethnicity as a determining factor in deciding whether to question someone’s immigration status is “reasonable.”

The heart of the law is this provision: “For any lawful contact made by a law enforcement official or a law enforcement agency…where reasonable suspicion exists that the person is an alien who is unlawfully present in the United States, a reasonable attempt shall be made, when practicable, to determine the immigration status of the person…”

York and supporters of the measure make a big hullaballoo over the fact that race or ethnicity may not be the “sole” factor in deciding whether to demand proof of citizenship. Law enforcement may still use race as a factor, just not as the “sole” factor.

Yet when race is one factor among others, as it is here, that a college admissions committee uses to admit applicants, Republicans call this unconstitutional.

Funny how it’s OK to use race as a factor to throw people they don’t like out of the country, but not when it’s used redress 391 years of systematic oppression under force of law, as with affirmative action.

One of my favorite things about Republican rhetoric is that it is so often against what they proclaim to be their own interests. York–whom I’m willing to bet dinner at the Capitol Grill has never exchanged more than 12 words at a time with an illegal immigrant, and whom I’m also willing to bet has either his home lawn-mowing, childcare, or janitorial services at his office done by Latino immigrants–does not even realize that the bill will undermine law enforcement’s ability to solve crimes.

That is because anyone with dark skin is going to avoid any possible interaction with law enforcement, including providing information that may lead law enforcement to the solving of a crime.

Say you are Latino, and you witness a hit-and-run. You’re on the way home from the playground with your kids, and you didn’t bring your wallet so you don’t have your driver’s license on you. Are you going to offer yourself as a witness to the aggrieved party, and be interviewed by the cops, so that one of Sheriff Joe Arpaio’s over-aggressive deputies can haul you downtown, resulting in considerable inconvenience, embarrassment in front of your kids, and expense to prove that you are here legally?

No, you are going to hot-foot it out of there, and the drunk driver who did the hit and run is going to get away.

Encouraging law enforcement to get involved in immigration matters always results in less interaction between immigrant communities and law enforcement. If the Republicans who argue in favor of this measure weren’t so closed-off in their gated communities and their private schools, and actually bothered to interact once in a while with Americans who do not look like them, they might understand this.

The Arizona anti-immigrant measure is bad for law enforcement, bad for immigrant communities, and bad for everyone else because more crooks will go free. So much for law and order.

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Apr. 14 2010 — 5:02 pm | 151 views | 0 recommendations | 0 comments

Tea party disses birther: Are Republicans recognizing how wing-nuts hurt their brand?

The Los Angeles Times reports today that an Orange County attorney who has repeatedly challenged the legality of President Obama’s holding of the office has been booted from a Tea Party rally scheduled in northern California tomorrow.

The rally will feature Republican Senate candidate Carly Fiorina and other mainstream candidates; they denied knowledge of the birther’s scheduled appearance at the rally until so informed by the Times.

The local Tea Party organizer who dis-invited the wing-nut–and what is the world coming to, when Tea Partiers are sane in comparison to other elements of the GOP–told the Times that she had been “getting calls from candidates like crazy” since the Times informed them the birther would be sharing their stage.

“It’s not worth it,” she told the L.A. Times. “She’s too controversial.”

Are Republicans finally getting wise to the fact that even a big tent can be too small for some?

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Apr. 13 2010 — 4:03 pm | 66 views | 0 recommendations | 1 comment

Three key financial reforms

If you want to follow whether the financial-reform bill introduced by Sen. Dodd and recently sucking up a greater percentage of oxygen inside the Beltway now that health care is done, actually means anything in the end: Pay attention to these three key changes. Each will be a crucial factor in preventing a repeat of the breakdown of the financial system that occurred in fall 2008 (or not, in which case my advice is to invest in canned soup and bottled water, arm yourself, and move to a cabin deep in the woods somewhere.)

1) The bond-rating agencies, especially Moody’s, must become truly independent entities that are not paid by the companies whose products they are rating. As things currently stand, Moody’s is under strong structural pressure to rate crummy bonds and other debt instruments highly because they know who’s paying their bills. And with the most explosive products being issued by only a few institutions, there’s a paucity of data to rely on to rate them– it’s not like corporate or sovereign bonds, of which there are very, very many issued by very, very diverse institutions. Moreover, the data the ratings agencies rely on to rate the products comes from the very same banks whose products they are rating, and the models they use to forecast default are similar to what the banks use to create them. So what’s the point of a ratings agency at all, if that’s the situation? What happened in the lead-up to 2008 was, a bunch of shitty loans with low ratings and high likelihoods of default were packaged into securities which magically had higher ratings than the loans of which they were composed. This Alice-in-Wonderland logic misled investors to believe that the products they were purchasing were safe from default, when in fact the opposite was true. If Moody’s isn’t getting paid by the people whose products they are rating, this routine is likely to become less of a farce.

2) No more opaque transactions between banks. As things now stand, collateralized debt obligations and credit-default swaps are not only traded away from open exchanges, they are traded off the books of the parties to the transactions. How is this possible? Markets require information pertaining to them to be available to all participants in order to act efficiently. And yet—thanks to the intervention of Bob Rubin, Larry Summers, Allen Greenspan, and others, all of whom told Congress that regulating these derivatives was not only unnecessary but dangerous, when the opposite proved to be true—trillions of dollars are traded in ways completely invisible to investors or regulators. This is heretical to one of the core tenets of capitalism about which every economist who endorses the system from, Krugman to Friedman, agrees, and it must end if we are to be safe from another calamity.

3) No more side trading with taxpayer-backed funds, i.e. the “Volker Rule.” Since the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act, which was implemented to fix many of the problems that led to the Gerat Depression, in 1999, banks whose deposits are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government, the most credit-worthy institution in human history, can go around making whatever bets they like to the benefit of their own company (rather than their customers). So if they bet wrongly often enough or severely enough, the public foots the bill—even though it would’ve been a private institution profiting had the bet gone well. This is just patently unfair; if banks want to rely on the Treasury to back them when they fuck up, they should be cutting the Treasury a check when they succeed. (Try getting Jamie Dimon or Lloyd Blankfein to agree to that one.) Moreover, this state of affairs motivates banks to take chances they wouldn’t otherwise take—because they know that ultimately it’s not their asses on the line. If an institution wants to engage in this kind of activity, about which there is nothing wrong per se, they can get off the public till and become hedge funds or private-equity groups, which are not backed by the FDIC and which eat their own losses when they lose.

Unless, of course, they’re Long-Term Capital Management.


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    I've been writing and editing for national magazines for 11 years, the last few specializing in environmental journalism, with additional experience producing daily news for, and appearing as a commentator on, public radio, and editing and managing a website.

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