Republicans are full of momentum
Not to carp on this too much, but since today is election day in several states, it’s worth noting — again — that midterm elections are fundamentally about enthusiasm and turnout, and according to Gallup, the momentum still lies with the GOP:
Unlike the American Prospect’s Paul Waldman, I do think there’s a real chance that either the House or the Senate will flip to GOP control, particularly if employment continues to lag, and Democratic enthusiasm numbers don’t catch up. If there’s any good news for Democrats, it’s that they do have an impressive number of legislative accomplishments under their belts, and if sold well, these could mitigate a little of the intense anti-incumbent sentiment in the electorate. Still, I can’t say that I’m terribly optimistic about this November.