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May. 18 2010 - 1:23 pm | 181 views | 0 recommendations | 2 comments

Republicans are full of momentum

Not to carp on this too much, but since today is election day in several states, it’s worth noting — again — that midterm elections are fundamentally about enthusiasm and turnout, and according to Gallup, the momentum still lies with the GOP:

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Unlike the American Prospect’s Paul Waldman, I do think there’s a real chance that either the House or the Senate will flip to GOP control, particularly if employment continues to lag, and Democratic enthusiasm numbers don’t catch up. If there’s any good news for Democrats, it’s that they do have an impressive number of legislative accomplishments under their belts, and if sold well, these could mitigate a little of the intense anti-incumbent sentiment in the electorate. Still, I can’t say that I’m terribly optimistic about this November.


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  1. collapse expand

    “If there’s any good news for Democrats, it’s that they do have an impressive number of legislative accomplishments under their belts…”

    This is part of the problem. Many Americans don’t like what Obama and Democrats have accomplished thus far. From the original stimulus package to the healthcare bill, many “sway” voters have become discouraged, disappointed and angry. Many Obama voters were anticipating “hope and change” and got more of the same. And, many loyal Obama supporters have become increasingly discouraged that Obama is not accomplishing much in regards to LGBT rights, ending the wars, closing Gitmo, changing Washington’s climate, cutting back on special projects in bills, etc. Hope is gone. Change in Washington… hasn’t happened.

    It’s not just the midterm trends that are hurting Democrats, its the fact that Democrats angered many voters. This is what is adding to Democrat’s problems.

    On a more subjective note, I’m disappointed that Democrats and Obama wasted opportunities that were given to them. Democrats should have passed ENDA and repealed DADT already. And, there should be movement towards repealing DOMA. Instead, Obama is defending DOMA in the courts. As well, Gitmo remains open and nothing is being done about torture that was authorized and performed during the Bush years.

    I really don’t know what Obama can do to turn voter opinion around. I think that many people are realizing that he’s not the person they were expecting.

  2. collapse expand

    There’s a political lifetime between now and November. Who knows how many more congresspeople will be caught in a wide stance or banging a staffer. Who knows how employment will look considering it’s already turning around. And there’s tons of video of Republcans yelling nonsense to remind everyone whatever it is they stand for. Dems should lose seats according to history but I think republikans are counting chickens that haven’t hatched.

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    I am a blogger and occasional freelance writer. Usually, you'll find me here, but I occasionally contribute to PostBourgie.com, as well as Spencer Ackerman's blog (when he's away). At my old Wordpress digs, I blogged about progressive politics, public policy, nerdy things and food, and here at True/Slant, I intend to do the same. I'm all about the social media, so feel free to follow me on Twitter: jbouie, or friend me on Facebook (though I might make you wait awhile). And if you'd rather avoid social media, you can always email me at jamelle DOT bouie AT gmail DOT com.

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